Udinese will face Monza at 5:30 pm on April 8th in round 29 of the Serie A 2022/23 season. The experts predict a 2-1 victory for Udinese. Udinese's dream of a spot in European competition next season is fading after their recent 0-3 loss to Bologna. Despite the significant gap in skill level between Udinese and the teams above them, even closing the 10-point gap with 6th-placed Atalanta is not easy. Therefore, Udinese's more realistic goal for the rest of the season is to secure a place in the Top 10 of the Serie A table. They haven't achieved this feat since the 2012/13 season. Before their heavy defeat to Bologna, Udinese had an unbeaten run of four games (two wins). In their last seven home games in Serie A, they have only lost one, and their only home win this season was against Fiorentina, a match in which they were given a 1/4 handicap. Although they have more draws (7) than wins (4) in their home games, it is noteworthy that they have only lost once at home.
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On the other front line, Monza is also closing its first season participating in the Italian National Football League with a "brilliant glory". Although identified as a top candidate for relegation due to lack of experience and inferior skills, the team of President Silvio Berlusconi (former Prime Minister of Italy and former chairman of AC Milan, who brought many glories to Rossoneri) is almost certain to remain in the highest level of Italian football for another season.
Now, coach Raffaele Palladino's team can comfortably enjoy and serve the audience from now until the end of the season. For example, in the last round, Monza played equally strong against Lazio and only lost because of poor finishing. In the two previous draws (against Cremonese and Verona), Biancorossi also dominated the game but still lacked the sharpness to secure a victory.
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Therefore, there is reason to believe that Monza will play with "fire" on the field of Udinese, a team they defeated in the Coppa Italia in October last year after losing in the first round of Serie A this season. However, this also makes the home team easier to play, and with a handicap of 1/4 (which can increase to 1/2), it seems that the victory is more likely to belong to Udinese because such a handicap level is quite reasonable, especially when looking at the statistics that Monza has only lost 1 out of 6 recent away games in Serie A (winning 3). Choose Udinese.
Analysis of the Udinese vs Monza goal ratio (2 1/2):
The last two matches between the two teams this season have seen the net shake more than twice. A similar script has also happened in 5 out of 7 recent matches of Udinese in Serie A. Meanwhile, Monza has scored quite regularly away from home in the Italian National Football League. The goal ratio of 2 1/2 also supports the possibility of a high-scoring game. Choose Over 2 1/2.
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